Handicapping Angle: Older Horses Facing 3-Year-Olds In The Spring

by | 02.16.2016 | 2:24pm

Scott Shapiro has a favored handicapping angle for races between March and May each year. When a race is carded for “3-year-olds and up,” those sophomores are usually facing older horses for the very first time, as was the case in a maiden claiming event at Oaklawn Park on Jan. 28.

On paper, the sophomores in the group were much better than the few 4-year-olds. However, one of those 4-year-olds, Tipsy Suspect, went on to win by 2 3/4 lengths at odds of 50-1, paying $102.00. The horse had finished fifth and ninth against similar company, and was racing for low-percentage connections.

“This time of year can be opportunistic for handicappers, as most 3-year-olds are simply not ready to run with the older horses yet,” writes Shapiro. “Horse players must be ready to pounce on these opportunities.”


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